When I was a boy, my parents often made me read books they thought were important. One of these was “The Republic” by Plato, written around 380 BC. After reading each book, they’d ask me to talk about what I learned. Reading this one, I realized that politics haven’t changed much over time and that people always seem to believe their group should be the ones making the big decisions. This was the first time I truly understood the saying “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” As someone who works in security, I think it’s important we all remember this. For example, these days, there’s a huge focus on Supply Chain Security in software, almost like it’s a brand-new idea. But if we look back to 1984, Ken Thompson talked about this very concept in his Turing Award lecture where he said, “No amount of source-level verification or scrutiny will protect you from using untrusted code.”

This is a common thread in information security in general, take, for example, the original forged message attack on RSA called the Bleichenbacher’s Oracle attack, it was published at the CRYPTO ’98 conference, and nearly two decades later we see Return Of Bleichenbacher’s Oracle Threat. Or the recent key recovery attack on SIDH, one of the NIST PQC selections, in this attack it was found that SIDH was vulnerable to a theorem known as “glue-and-split” developed in 1997!

While there is certainly an element of human nature involved here, there are also extenuating factors like the sheer amount of knowledge that we as a society have amassed. One of the exciting things about Large Language Models and AI more generically is that these techniques have the potential to harness the entire body of knowledge that society has amassed and to do so with far fewer mistakes enabling us to advance even faster.

With that said, there is a problem larger than that, especially as security practitioners, we often frame our problem wrong. Back in 1998 when Dan Geer was at CertCo (I worked at a competitor called Valicert back then), he wrote an excellent post on how “Risk Management is Where the Money Is”. In this post, he argued that the security industry as it was would be transformed into a risk management industry — something that has certainly happened. In this talk, he also eloquently frames how customers look at risk-reward trade-offs, and how the internet would evolve into a data center (e.g., the Cloud as we know it today), and more.

The reality is there is a lot to learn from our predecessors and by understanding historical patterns, and better utilizing the lessons learned from the past we can better prepare for and address the security issues we face today.